Calculateur de risque d'événement COVID

Estimer le risque d’exposition au COVID lors d’événements. Basé sur la prévalence et la taille du groupe.

Event Parameters

Participants

Prévalence

*Enter the estimated number of active infectious cases per 100,000 people in your area.

Statistical Risk

Probabilité d'infection1.2%

Niveau de risqueLow Risk

Probability Insight

In a group of 50 people, there is a 1.2% chance that at least one person is currently infectious, given the local rate of 25/100k.

Overview

Event risk depends on prevalence and group size.

Fun Facts

Formula: P(au moins 1) = 1 − (1 − prévalence)^n. n = participants.